The Basics of Investments
The Importance of Diversifying your Portfolio
Most
investors know not to put all their eggs in one basket. Yet over the
years we have met with many prospective clients, in many different
countries, who believe because they have invested into different
investments that their future is well protected.
Unfortunately, your portfolio is not diversified unless your investment
choices provide you with an opportunity to benefit from positive performance
in different investment vehicles while aiming to minimise concentration in
any one area that might decrease your overall return. Of course, your
strategy should focus on the type of investment that best matches your
primary objective -- but you should be sure to round out your portfolio with
investments expected to do well under different market conditions.
For example,
many Venezuelans we have met over the years, held property, and re-invested
income into their own business or directly invested into another, believing
that they were well placed regarding their long term needs. Sadly, many have
found to their cost that this was a strategy WITHOUT diversification.
The
importance of a well diversified investment mix is to ensure that all your
assets cannot be devastated or constrained by a poor performance, or adverse
conditions, in one or more areas of local or international sectors.
Before we
analyse how we can diversify an investment Portfolio, let us first decide
what should be there and what shouldn’t.
An
existing business cannot be assumed as part of an individual’s future
retirement fund… Unless, its shares are freely tradable and listed on a
major international exchange… Even in these circumstances we would be very
cautious about anticipated future values and returns.
A
successful company provides its owners’ with a sufficient level of income to
ensure a surplus is available for its owner to create both a short and
longterm financially secure structure, totally independent of the company’s
future , or creates an in-house saving or retirement scheme in the owner’s
name, totally independent and separate for accounting purposes and never
available, for any liability the company may incur.
For those
whom believe that they shall pass the business on to their children, when
they retire and a comfortable income shall be provided throughout their life
need professional medical help. Rarely does
a business burdened with an
extra fixed
expense, often survive without
some negative experiences being encountered. We have too often seen, a parent having to make a
choice between, breaking a company or like an errant child with little
control over their pocket money, cap in hand, seek part of the agreed
amount, without bankrupting the company and their children’s future. We know
this type of scenario can easily be avoided, if an independent fund has
been created to cover the income needs of three or four years, until, a
company can recover its position or more likely develop the business whereby
a sustained income level can be provided, without serious impact on
corporate cashflow.
Another
scenario quite unacceptable is the perception that a buyer will be found
around retirement age, to buy the company for an amount adequate to provide
the capital sum necessary to fund an annual retirement income. Simply put, rarely if ever does a company
sell for an amount anywhere near what its owner believes is its value. This
is especially true of those companies which,
in its past, doctored accounts to save paying
taxes. Most buyers will gear their offers to the verified accounts, not to
what the seller tells them is real.
NONE
OF THE ABOVE SCENARIOS SHOULD GIVE ANY REALISTIC COMFORT, TO AN INDIVIDUAL
SEEKING A SECURE FUTURE.
Property investments can
be used, however once again, a note of caution. Rarely do sellers obtain the
price they seek and if you retire, or are retired, when economical or
political circumstances combine to effect rental income opportunities and therefore capital
values, then unless you have access to other funds or income sources,
whereby you can wait out, until better times, when rental income
return to normal values, then a property portfolio, which has taken a
lifetime to assemble can become a “House of cards”. Again, the pragmatic
action of the planned re-direction of some rental income over the years, to
insure that a disaster fund is in place, to cushion possible negative future
events, is good diversification.
Those intelligent enough
to make independent provisions, the following points become important….
Diversification Across Sectors and Types.
Diversification among
Funds and asset classes refers to creating a portfolio that contains a mix
of at least the three major asset classes: stocks, bonds, and money market
instruments. Generally, when the stock market is up, the bond market is down
and vice versa. Cash investments typically provide a conservative and often
steady return. Stocks and bonds yields tend to move in the opposite
direction. Cash and fixed interest instruments are considered a more stable
investment. By diversifying among asset classes you can strike a balance
which will help cushion your portfolio against the investment swings in any
one asset category.
Diversification Within Asset Classes
You can diversify further by selecting different types of securities within
each asset class. For example, when investing in Equities, don't limit
yourself to a single Equity fund, Equity/ Stock, Equity Sector, country or
region Instead, consider investing in funds that represent a variety of
types and styles. Combine different types of securities, such as large-cap
stocks and small-cap stocks, with different investment styles such as growth
or value stocks. Like the basic asset classes, various types of securities
or investment styles react differently to changing market conditions. Cycles
usually favour one segment over another, sometimes over long periods.
Diversification among various segments allows you to reduce the risk of
guessing which segment is currently in vogue.
Diversification
Over Time
Finally, invest over time. Diversification over time offers another way to
reduce risk while helping avoid the emotional aspects of market timing. Some
investors try to time the stock market by jumping in and out when they feel
the price is right. Unfortunately, market timing only works when you
accurately predict the direction of the stock market. Even financial experts
have been unable to do this reliably. Instead of buying low and selling
high, investors who attempt to market time often do the reverse. They buy
after an extended period of rising prices in an attempt to share in the
profits, and sell in a panic when prices fall. Rather than trying to time
the market, an investment of a set amount of money on a regular basis can
help reduce this pattern. This strategy is referred to as dollar-cost
averaging (See next page)
and enables time rather than impeccable timing, to ensure success.
There is no
guarantee the market will follow any past example. There can be no guarantee
that past experience is in any way indicative of future results, however DCA
enables a pragmatic investor to steer a course and so position themselves,
as favourably as possible over the long term.
Next: Dollar Cost Averaging |